Stock Market Today: Stocks Jump After CPI, With Fed Approaching


U.S. stocks jumped Wednesday after a new inflation figure showed consumer prices rose less than expected in May. The latest inflation snapshot comes hours before a highly anticipated afternoon Federal Reserve meeting provides the latest signal on where interest rates are moving.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) built on a record 27th close of the year, up more than 0.8%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose nearly 0.9%, also adding to a record close from the day before. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) also jumped about 0.9%.

The consumer price index (CPI) remained stable over the previous month and increased 3.3% from a year earlier in May – a deceleration from the monthly increase of 0.3 % of April and the annual price increase of 3.4%. Both measures exceed economists’ expectations. On a “core” basis, which excludes the more volatile costs of food and gasoline, prices in May increased 0.2% from the previous month and 3.4% from last year, an increase lower than the April data. Both measures also turned out to be better than economists’ estimates.

This has changed market expectations for Fed rate cuts this year. After the data was released, markets were pricing in a roughly 69% chance that the Federal Reserve would begin cutting rates by its September meeting, according to data from the CME FedWatch tool. That’s an increase from the probability of about 53% the day before.

Subsequently, interest rate-sensitive areas of the market soared. Real Estate (XLRE) led all eleven sectors, up more than 2%.

Learn more: How does the labor market affect inflation?

But all that could change later this afternoon. The Fed’s decision is almost certain: the central bank should keep rates at their current 23-year levels. Investors will be paying closer attention to the release of the Fed’s updated economic projections in its dot plot – particularly the number of rate cuts it projects for the rest of the year.

The last time we heard it, in March, it was three o’clock. Policymakers are almost certain to reduce that amount, thanks in part to the aforementioned sticky inflation that will begin this year. These projections, along with what Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said during his press conference, could be the last notable events for the market on an extraordinarily busy day.

Live7 updates

  • Apple regains its place as the world’s largest stock

    Apple ( AAPL ) stock gained nearly 4% Wednesday morning, extending gains from its best one-day move in a year on Tuesday.

    The move propelled the iPhone maker’s market capitalization above that of Microsoft (MSFT), making it the most valuable stock in the world. Apple’s market capitalization eclipsed $3.3 trillion on Wednesday, surpassing Microsoft’s by $3.25 trillion.

    Apple stock rebounded as investors digested the announcement of its AI platform, Apple Intelligence, which some Wall Street analysts hailed as a potential catalyst to spark the next upgrade cycle for the iPhone .

    Below is an overview of the market capitalizations, in trillions, of the largest stocks on the US markets.

    Source: Yahoo FinanceSource: Yahoo Finance

    Source: Yahoo Finance

  • Stocks Rise at Open as Yields Fall

    U.S. stocks jumped Wednesday after a new inflation figure showed consumer prices rose less than expected in May. The latest inflation snapshot comes hours before a highly anticipated afternoon Federal Reserve meeting provides the latest signal on where interest rates are moving.

    The S&P 500 (^GSPC) built on a record 27th close of the year, up more than 0.8%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose nearly 0.9%, also adding to a record close from the day before. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) also jumped about 0.9%.

    The 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) fell about 10 basis points to 4.3%.

  • Risk is present in the markets after the publication of the CPI

    Stock futures rose after a colder-than-expected release of consumer prices for May.

    S&P 500 futures (ES=F) hit a record 27th close of the year, up 0.7%. Futures on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) rose nearly 0.9%, also pointing to gains after a record close for the index. Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) futures gained 0.6%.

    In particular, it was the interest rate-sensitive sectors of the market that recorded the largest gains. Futures contracts tied to the Russell 2000 (RT=F) rose about 2.3%.

    This came as investors quickly recalibrated their expectations for rate cuts this year. After the data was released, markets were pricing in a roughly 69% chance that the Federal Reserve would begin cutting rates by its September meeting, according to data from the CME FedWatch tool. That’s an increase from the probability of about 53% the day before.

  • Inflationary pressures ease more than expected

    The rise in consumer prices in the United States slowed during the month of May, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Wednesday morning.

    The consumer price index (CPI) remained stable from the previous month and at 3.3% from a year earlier in May, a deceleration from 3.4% in April and a change lower than the variation of 3.4% over one year expected by economists.

    May’s monthly increase was lower than economists’ forecasts of a 0.1% rise.

    On a “core” basis, which excludes the more volatile costs of food and gasoline, prices in May increased 0.2% from the previous month and 3.4% from last year, an increase lower than the April data. Both measures were below economists’ expectations.

  • Nvidia like the sun…

    Hats off to Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok for this vibe check on the S&P 500.

    Clearly, Nvidia (NVDA) is the sun around which 499 other companies revolve.

    Note: Apollo is the parent company of Yahoo Finance.

    It's an Nvidia marketplace.It's an Nvidia marketplace.

    It’s an Nvidia marketplace. (Apollo)

  • JP Morgan weighs in on vote on Musk’s pay package

    Tesla’s (TSLA) shareholder vote on Elon Musk’s $56 billion pay package is playing out.

    Ahead of Thursday’s vote, Tesla just posted this message on Musk-owned X, detailing its CEO’s accomplishments (note that this is strange to see on a company which we are talking about here).

    A new Yahoo Finance poll currently shows that 96% of people who voted think Musk’s pay package should not be approved.

    In the meantime, Ryan Brinkman, analyst at JP Morgan, weighs in this morning with a note:

    “Although ISS and Glass Lewis, as well as several high-profile institutional and individual shareholders, have expressed opposition to ratification in 2024 of Mr. Musk’s 2018 compensation plan, we instead believe it will be adopted, although only with a lower approval rating than in 2018 and perhaps to a lesser extent than commonly imagined. We base this expectation on anecdotal evidence of strong retail shareholder support and our. conversations with institutional investors whose reasoning, overall, seems similar to when they were asked to vote in favor of the Solar City acquisition. The investors we spoke with at the time were not. not in favor of the acquisition of Solar City, but feared a more negative stock price reaction if the transaction were rejected, given the perception of a vote of no confidence.

    Brinkman reiterated an underweight (sell equivalent) on Tesla shares and a price target of $115, implying a ~32% downside from current price levels.

    Learn more here about Musk’s vote and the top votes on the CEO pay package from Yahoo Finance Senior Legal Reporter Alexis Keenan.

  • Claim still on the move after big deal with Apple

    Affirm (AFRM) is still one of the most popular tickers on the Yahoo Finance platform after announcing an integration into Apple (AAPL) Pay on Tuesday. Shares are up 1.5% premarket after rising 11% yesterday.

    I sat down with Affirm founder and CEO Max Levchin last night for a new recording of my podcast “Opening Bid.” The full episode (which features Levchin’s views on AI and political vibes in Silicon Valley) will premiere Friday morning on Yahoo Finance and major podcast platforms.

    But I’ve put an excerpt of Levchin’s comments on the tie-up below for you to peruse.

    Levchin did not specify how this deal will impact Affirm financially (it could be significant given the 1.4 billion iPhones in circulation worldwide), but hinted that it could be a significant contributor to the company’s figure. business and results over time.

    He acknowledged that the deal “validates” the buy now, pay later space – which has been under siege by regulators and other parties almost since its inception.



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