MLB Predictions for Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees 06/07/24

The Yankees’ Fall Continues

The New York Yankees are 54-36 this year and have lost four straight. New York led the opener of this series by a score of 3-1 in the ninth inning on Friday, but lost in extra innings. Prior to this series, the Yankees had been swept by the Reds, split four games with the Blue Jays and lost both games to the Mets. New York is just 2-9 in its last 11 games and is second in the American League East.

New York pitchers have a 3.59 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and .225 batting average to their opponents. The Yankees’ offense has scored 450 runs with a .247 batting average and .330 on-base percentage. Juan Soto is hitting .300 with 21 home runs and 63 RBIs for the Yankees this season. New York has allowed at least five runs in eight of its last ten games.

Starting Pitchers

Boston’s projected starting pitcher is Josh Winckowski, who is 2-1 with a 2.80 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 35.1 innings pitched this year. Winckowski has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last 12.0 innings of work. New York’s projected starting pitcher is Gerrit Cole, who is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 13.0 innings pitched this season. Cole has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his three starts this year, but has pitched just four, four and five innings in those outings.

Why the Yankees Will Beat the Red Sox

• The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games against American League opponents after a win.
• The Yankees have won five of their last six games against the Red Sox after going into extra innings.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games against AL East opponents following a win.

Why the Red Sox Will Beat the Yankees

• The Red Sox have won each of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs after playing the day before.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the home run line in eight of their last nine games at Yankee Stadium.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home games.

Facts about the total number of races

• Each of the Yankees’ last five games against AL East opponents has gone over the total-run line.
• Five of the Red Sox’s last six games against American League opponents have gone over the total-run line.
• The “Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs” market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five games at Yankee Stadium.
• The “Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs” market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five games against AL East opponents.

Facts About New York Yankees Player Accessories

• Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
• Gerrit Cole has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last 13 appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL opponents with winning records.
• Jose Trevino has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances for the Yankees, who are favored against the Red Sox.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one single in each of his last 10 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total goal in each of his last 11 appearances against AHL opponents.
• Anthony Rizzo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six day game appearances against AL teams with winning records.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Accessories Facts

• Connor Wong has recorded at least one single in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
• Tyler O’Neill has scored at least one run in six of his previous seven day game appearances against AL teams with winning records.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in three of his last five day game appearances against AL East teams with winning records.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.
• Trevor Story has a hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees have really struggled in recent weeks and are now second in the American League East behind Baltimore. New York is still 24-18 at home this year, but their loss on Friday was bad. Boston is 28-16 away and they have been one of the most in-form teams in MLB since May. The Red Sox have Winckowski starting, who has been very solid recently, while Gerrit Cole has been decent in limited work for New York. I think this pitching matchup is pretty solid and I think we are going to see another lower scoring game. My prediction for the Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees is that this game will go down to the under.